Since my last weekly round up England have crashed out of the World Cup and we’re all feeling a bit down-in-the-dumps. Never mind, we can get behind Andy Murray in the tennis now, at least until Friday afternoon! For me personally, I’m looking forward to three weeks of watching brightly-coloured lycra-clad maniacs pedalling up the sides of mountains around the Gallic countryside as Le Tour De France gets underway on Saturday in Rotterdam. God speed with Bradley Wiggins and everyone in the Sky Team crew.
Hey Paul, I hear you shout, this is a horse racing blog?
You’re right, and today I’m going to tell you why I’m backing Twice Over for the Coral-Eclipse at Sandown on Saturday; I’ve got some good news for you if you missed out on joining my new service Horse Racing Trends at the beginning of June; I’m highlighting three trainers whose horses should command some respect when sent to Sandown; I want to remind everyone how they can take a crisp fifty pound note out of my grubby hands; and then I’m rounding off with another typically topical retro track from the 80’s.
~o0o~
The big race of the week end is the Coral-Eclipse at Sandown on Saturday. It’s a Group One race over one mile and a quarter, for horses aged 3 years and upwards. Looking back over recent years this race has been won by superstars such as Sea The Stars (last year), Falbrav, Halling, Pilsudski, and Daylami. The Eclipse exhibits a number of strong trends, and the favourite Twice Over hits most of these square on the head. The horse’s background leading into the race matches very closely the typical profile of previous winners.
He’s the right age, with the right breeding, he’s had two races already this season and one within the last month in the Prince Of Wales Stakes (13 of the last 14 winners had their last race at either Royal Ascot or the Derby), and he’s managed a top two position at least twice in his last four races. If I were compiling the odds for this race I would have him around the 6/4 mark and he’s currently available at 2/1 so I think it’s a good bet.
The only stain on Twice Over’s otherwiser pristine trends copy book is that he has been around the block a few times. As a five year old this is perhaps to be expected. But history shows us that all but two of the last fourteen winners had raced between five and sixteen times, and Twice Over has completed 18 races. These extra couple of races don’t concern me enough to put me off backing him.
~o0o~
You may or may not know that I launched my brand new racing service Horse Racing Trends just before Derby week end at the beginning of June. The launch was a huge success, and all 300 spaces sold out within 4days. In fact, when I actually took down the ’order’ page I had 307 new members.
Much to my personal relief (I hate to let people down) the first month went particularly well. In the very first race covered, the Diomed Stakes, I highlighted the winner Bushman at 11/1 and we were off to a flying start! Royal Ascot was something more of a struggle, and those members following my personal selections will have lost half a dozen points over the five days. But my HRT Race Ratings did far better, and pointed members to the winner of the Royal Hunt Cup Invisible Man at 28/1
The month finished in particularly pleasing fashion when Premio Loco won the Criterion Stakes last weekend at a tasty 25/1 and those members having the faith to follow my recommendations ended up 23 points in profit to SP.
Why am I telling you this? Well, on Monday I am going to be opening the doors to a very limited number of new members. The fact is that some people decided to cancel their membership within one month, as is their absolute right. Despite being profitable, people will have their own reasons why a service still may not be for them. In all, twenty seven people dropped out. Put in perspective, that’s just under 9% Importantly, there are 280 happy members as we move into the month of July.
On Monday I am going to allow another 20 spaces to be filled, and then that will be it for the foreseeable future. I will maybe take stock again as we move into the Jumps season, but this will definately be the last opportunity for this Flat season.
So if you missed out on the original launch, and you want to join, then make sure you check back here at the blog on Monday, when I will post a link to the Order Page again.
~o0o~
Trainers to follow: there are three trainers I think worthy of close attention at Sandown. In the last five seasons Jeremy Noseda has enjoyed a 37% strike rate at the course, and a 43% level stakes profit. So for every £1 you staked on one of Noseda’s horses you would have got your money back plus a 43pence profit. William Haggas has achieved a 27% level stakes profit for punters at the course over the last five seasons. Richard Hannon is most successful at Sandown between April and July in races run over 7f to 1m1f and at class 4 level and above. Current entries:
3rd July Sandown 2:00 Group Therapy (J Noseda)
3rd July Sandown 2:00 Triple Aspect (W J Haggas)
3rd July Sandown 2:35 Oratory (R Hannon)
3rd July Sandown 4:50 Duplicity (R Hannon)
~o0o~
On Monday I announced a Readers’ Competition and the chance to win fifty pounds. I’m looking for readers to send in details of their favourite betting systems, or at least those they don’t mind sharing with everyone else. I’m going to choose three systems from those you submit, to go head-to-head over the course of a month. The betting system that scores the most profit, or at least loses the least money, will be the winner, and the owner will receive the £50 from yours truly.
I’m doing this in response to the survey which suggests you want to see more free betting systems here on the blog.
Read Monday’s post for full details
If the response is good enough, then this might be a regular event here on the blog, and we can share with each other a bundle of interesting systems, some of which will (hopefully) provide some decent returns.
~o0o~
How could I finish today’s post with anything else but ‘Total Eclipse Of The Heart’ by gravelly-voiced 80’s power-ballad queen Bonnie Tyler. Enjoy!
Loading ...