OUR RATING: 4.0 out of 5
I’ve had this method on test for four weeks, so before revealing my conclusions I will remind you that four weeks is by no means a long period and any observations cannot be definitive. I can only report what I have found, and from what I have seen it would seem to work well. But if you decide to invest in this product you should paper-trade for at least a couple months before placing any of your hard earned cash at risk.
The Value Horse Method employs a fairly rigid rule-set to determine what is an acceptable final bet, and during the winter months you may find your profits are limited. This is because there are far more withdrawals and cancelled meetings which can be blamed on the inclement British weather.
So although you may not be absolutely coining it in during the jumps season, unless you use serious stakes, you will still find the method safe and reliable. I would suggest the summer months would return a most acceptable profit. Having trialled the method I would be happy to use quite substantial stakes, because the strike rate is certainly good enough.
The author says it is as much a learning method as a betting system, and I have to agree. The reader learns what to look for in a race card, and you are encouraged to make more of your own decisions once you have absorbed the principles of betting on the value horses. It follows the old adage of “give a man a fish and he will eat for a day, but teach him to fish and he will never go hungry again.”
The guide is worth the money paid for the educational aspects alone.
Many punters still struggle with the concept of value in a bet, but when you read the text your eyes will be opened, and if it sinks in, it may well change the way you look at betting.
After applying the rules of The Value Horse Method to the letter, the limitations of the season left me with only fifteen days with qualifying races. And on those days, only twenty three races highlighted bets which qualified according to the rules.
During the summer months, with the inclusion of evening racing and up to thirty six races scheduled in a day, you could safely expect many more races to come into play under this method, which would naturally lead to more profits.
One aspect of the method I found made it suitable for a wide spectrum of punters – you can adjust the methodology to better suit your own personal preferences. If you are risk averse you can temper the system accordingly. Your rewards may be reduced, but I always say you should bet according to your betting temperament. Obviously, if you are prepared to entertain higher risks, you can expect higher rewards. Each to his own.
Once you have identified a qualifying candidate, you use the supplied calculator to construct your bet. This is where you can adjust the stake and the risk to suit your particular preference, confident that you are risking only the amount which you have set for your bank, perhaps even less. The reader can balance the potential profit he wants against the risk.
I found was checking the race cards daily at around 10.30am, and it usually took me about 15 minutes to identify any suitable bets. You very quickly learn to recognise suitable races, and then you do some further analysis to see if the figures will work. You might naturally expect that with the abundance of races on a day in the summer, you might spend up to 45 minutes on this process but that is all you have to do.
Most of you will be pleased to hear there is no requirement to remain chained to your PC monitoring every race during the day. The vast majority of punters have a day job which precludes many systems where this is a requirement, but thankfully this is not the case here.
I am sure you should not be overly surprised to hear that the author of The Value Horse Method is keen you should always seek to get the best prices possible. In days gone by this would necessitate several bookmaker accounts to get the best value, but I think you will not go far wrong with your Betfair account, and it’s a lot more convenient to bet from one web site.
The author is correct when he stresses the importance of best prices, as the odd point or two here and there, will add up to a considerable amount come the end of the accounting year.
The Value Horse Method is not betting for the sake of entertainment. If you choose to follow its teachings, you should treat it as a serious investment business opportunity. But I’m guessing that anyone prepared to part with £99 for a betting system would not treat the investment lightly. Before you commit to a purchase, you would do well to ask yourself whether you are prepared to give up speculative or fun betting for good, and commit the necessary time and effort to this as a serious business. You should find you are well rewarded if you do.
These are the key statistics from my trial period:
Starting bank: £500
Finishing bank: £611.58
Bets placed: 23
Success rate: 69.57%
ROI: 13.57%
During the last two weeks, I did find an additional four bets which I personally would have been happy to place, despite them falling just slightly shy of the standard of proof required by my strict application of the rules. Three of these were successful.
I like the flexibility that the system affords, in that it allows you to choose your own level of risk/profit ratio. I chose to be very cautious, which undoubtedly affected my overall results.
However, as the author says, once you are comfortable with the method itself, you can progress to making your own judgments as to what risk you are prepared to take.
One final point to make is that the ROI figure quoted above is the normal one comparing the profit against the amount staked. However, in this case, if you were to consider the amount actually risked, as opposed to staked, on the bets, the figure would actually be a most impressive figure well over 50%.
Passed!
So, my opinion of The Value Horse Method based upon my limited trial period, is most definitely a positive one.