It’s about time I updated you on my recent betting exploits. It’s been a while since I did this, and I must admit I’m prompted to tell you how I’ve been getting on recently, largely, no, almost entirely because this week I landed my biggest win for a long time. I will tell you all about my 66/1 winner in a minute, but also in this post there is a report from the York Dante meeting, a look ahead to the Lockinge meeting at Newbury on Saturday, and as usual I have grabbed a topical music video off YouTube for your enjoyment.
Let’s go back to last Friday and it was the last day of the Chester May Meeting. I had an interest in the two feature races of the day, namely the Dee Stakes and the Ormonde Stakes. In the Group 3 Dee Stakes I fancied the John Gosden horse Azmeel with Frankie on board. £20 went on Azmeel and I also had a fiver saver on Prompter who duly trailed in last by a distance. Held up until the last 2 furlongs Azmeel came through to win ahead of the favourite and returned 7/2
In the Group 3 Ormonde Stakes I couldn’t see past Harbinger but not interested at the skinny odds so I let him run – still nice to be proved right though. All in all it was a brilliant Chester. I analysed six races and found the winner in five.
Then came Saturday and that was going to prove busy, and I had my eye on five races. In the Spring Trophy at Haydock I had £20 on each of three, and I got the first two home with Lovelace winning at 3/1 and my third choice Georgebernardshaw coming in fourth. Ten minutes later and the fillies were running in the Chartwell at Lingfield. My two finished 2nd and 5th so £40 was given back. In the Oaks trial I was on Bebopalula who was actually 4 lengths clear at half way. I would have settled for 4 inches clear at the finishing line, but instead she ended up well out of the reckoning. The feature race of the day was the Derby Trial, and I had £20 on both Bullet Train and Captain James Cook. As they rounded the corner, sadly the Aiden O’Brian colt stumbled and fatally injured himself. But it was a good performance by the Henry Cecil horse who made practically all to win at 11/4 My last race of the day was the Heritage Handicap Victoria Cup at Ascot. Sixty quid never looked like returning any cash, and none of my my three choices looked dangerous and they finished 10th, 14th, and 23rd.
Sunday and I had a pop at the Derby Trial at Leopardstown. I was on At First Sight and he forced the pace before being swallowed up by the two market leaders to finish third.
On Tuesday came my big win. One of my niche betting systems highlighted Lucky Breeze running in a lowly median auction maiden at Yarmouth. Trainer William Knight does particularly well with his younger horses at certain tracks, including Yarmouth. Lucky Breeze and That’s Showbiz both came up on my radar as qualifiers, so I popped a playful fiver on them each. Won by five lengths, going away, at 66/1 a happy day!
On to Wednesday and day one of the Dante Meeting at York. We’re right in the middle of ‘trials season’ and today it was the Musidora Stakes and the Duke Of York Stakes I was interested in. Cabaret was very disappointing for me in the Musidora, and at the moment it seems you bet against a Henry Cecil filly at your peril. I drew a blank in the Duke Of York as well, with my two choices finishing down the field in 5th and 6th.
Today and I started by taking a punt against last year’s Oaks winner Sariska in the Middleton Stakes. I plumped for Flying Cloud looking for some value, but value amounts to not much above nothing when your horse finishes 3rd precisely as the market predicted. In the big race of the day, the Derby Trial Dante Stakes I fancied the Stoute colt Workforce. He had attracted fair support, but finished runner up to Aiden O’Brien’s Cape Blanco. I ended with a winner though, and in the Hambleton Handicap I put my faith in three to the tune of £20 each, and scored with Fareer at 11/2
~o0o~
This weekend the race everyone will have their eyes on is the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury. The Lockinge is generally a stepping stone for mile horses on their way to the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot. Paco Boy is currently a shade odds on for the race, so it seems a question of whether you are with the Boy or against the Boy. Instead I have been looking at the trends for the London Gold Cup to be run thirty five minutes before the Lockinge. It’s a Class 2 handicap over a trip of 1m2f. In recent years this has gone to horses with good recent form - a top three place last time out has been typical – and a run within the last month to bring them to fitness. The winners profile is of a horse usually rated between 84 and 93. I am drawn to three horses which all fit the bill, namely Verdant, Monterosso, and Right Step. A low draw has historically been an advantage and coming from the lowest draw I fancy Monterosso to make a good showing.
~o0o~
This week’s retro track is from one of my favourite women singer-songwriters the wonderful Joan Armatrading. In tribute to my 66/1 winner this week Lucky Breeze, this one is called ‘Lucky’. Enjoy, and I’ll be catching up with you again soon.
Loading ...
{ 1 trackback }
{ 0 comments… add one now }