How to establish the profile of the likely winner
Probably the most commonly asked question I see in my inbox from visitors to my HorseRacingTrends.com web site is “What is trends analysis, and can it help me make money from betting?”
Well I’ll try and explain the principles as briefly as I can….
Racing trends work best with races that have been run more than a few times. It makes sense doesn’t it? The more historical facts and figures you have to work with, so much the better.
So I employ trends analysis to evaluate the Classics, the big Festival races, the Group and Graded races, the Listed races, and the major handicaps throughout the season. These races are generally steeped in history, and we find that more often than not, for any given race, the same type of horse wins year-in-year-out.
For example, I may find that most of the previous winners fall within a specific age range, they had form at particular distances or had competed at a certain class previously, they had raced a certain number of times that season, they had a minimum Official Rating, the race has been good for favourites, and so on. Certain trainers can also be seen to target and succeed in particular races.
By going back and examining previous winners of a certain race we can build a typical ‘winners profile’. We then look for the horse running today that most closely fits that ‘profile’.
Of course, this method is not an exact science…. we rely upon historical trends continuing, and there will always be horses that will ‘buck the trend’. But using this approach we can quickly narrow down a large field to a small number of likely contenders, often highlighting some big price horses that the ‘form experts’ have overlooked.
Will I Make A Lot Of Money From Trends Analysis?
Let me some things clear, and set some expectations… I am not suggesting trends analysis is some ‘silver bullet’ miracle method that will provide you with a life-changing income. Many (in fact the majority) of the horses highlighted by this method will fail to win. But on the other hand, you will find more than your fair share of winners with this strategy, and more than a few of these at very decent prices.
If you are diligent in finding the best prices about your selections, I would expect you to see your investment in stakes more than covered by your winnings.
Want to find out more about Trends Analysis?
My service at HorseracingTrends.com provides detailed trends analysis of more than 300 top grade races each year. If you are short of time to investigate these races yourself, you can use the historical information I have researched to assist you in finding your own selections. Alternatively, you can use my personal race ratings and also follow my suggestions.
Click Here To Visit HorseRacingTrends.com
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